All matches

Zimbru — CSF Balti, Moldovan National Division

Moldova, Moldovan National Division

Zimbru
2.9LWWWW
—
CSF Balti
1.1LLLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
81%15%
Zimbru81%Draw15%CSF Balti4%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Zimbru81%1.23—
XDraw15%6.66—
2CSF Balti4%27.70—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes50%

ours 2.01

No50%

ours 1.99

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricZimbruCSF BaltiCombined
Goals scored1.000.171.17
Conceded0.502.673.17
Corners8.510.59.5
Cards0.80.00.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

ZimbruCSF Balti

FC Zimbru Chişinău 81%, CSF Bălți 4%. The safest is “FC Zimbru Chişinău or draw” at 96%.

FC Zimbru Chişinău 81%Draw 15%CSF Bălți 4%
1st half
56 · 34 · 10
2nd half
55 · 31 · 14
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Most corners: Home

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Zimbru

  • homeCSCA Buiucani0:1
  • homeCSM Politehnica Iasi2:1
  • awaySireti2:0
  • homeSheriff2:1
  • awayCSF Balti4:0

CSF Balti

  • awaySheriff0:7
  • awayCSCA Buiucani0:3
  • homeMilsami1:3
  • awayPetrocub0:3
  • homeZimbru0:4

Head to head

  • 08/22/26Moldovan National Division4:0
  • 07/05/26Moldovan National Division3:0
  • 05/02/26Moldovan National Division4:1
  • 03/21/26Moldovan National Division2:0
  • 11/09/25Moldovan National Division3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sheriff1384132:1028
2Zimbru1382327:1226
3Petrocub1373324:1324
4CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
5Milsami1345413:1717
6CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915
7Sireti130768:197
8CSF Balti1312109:425

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.