All matches

CSF Balti — Petrocub, Moldovan National Division

Moldova, Moldovan National Division

CSF Balti
1.1LLLLL
—
Petrocub
2.7WWDWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
18%73%
CSF Balti10%Draw18%Petrocub73%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1CSF Balti10%10.47—
XDraw18%5.64—
2Petrocub73%1.37—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes49%

ours 2.02

No51%

ours 1.98

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCSF BaltiPetrocubCombined
Goals scored0.170.831.00
Conceded2.170.502.67
Corners9.77.38.5
Cards0.00.70.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CSF BaltiPetrocub

CSF Bălți 10%, CS Petrocub Hînceşti 73%. The safest is “CS Petrocub Hînceşti or draw” at 88%.

CSF Bălți 10%Draw 18%CS Petrocub Hînceşti 73%
1st half
18 · 40 · 42
2nd half
18 · 35 · 47
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

CSF Balti

  • awaySheriff0:7
  • awayCSCA Buiucani0:3
  • homeMilsami1:3
  • awayPetrocub0:3
  • homeZimbru0:4

Petrocub

  • awayCSM Politehnica Iasi1:0
  • homeSireti2:1
  • awaySheriff2:2
  • homeCSF Balti3:0
  • awayMilsami0:1

Head to head

  • 08/30/26Moldovan National Division0:3
  • 07/11/26Moldovan National Division1:1
  • 05/10/26Moldovan National Division0:3
  • 04/05/26Moldovan National Division0:2
  • 10/04/25Moldovan National Division0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sheriff1384132:1028
2Zimbru1382327:1226
3Petrocub1373324:1324
4CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620
5Milsami1345413:1717
6CSM Politehnica Iasi1343618:1915
7Sireti130768:197
8CSF Balti1312109:425

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.