All matches

Sheriff — Zimbru, Moldovan National Division

Moldova, Moldovan National Division

Sheriff
2.8WWDLW
—
Zimbru
2.9LWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%27%22%
Sheriff51%Draw27%Zimbru22%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sheriff51%1.97—
XDraw27%3.64—
2Zimbru22%4.60—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.83

No45%

ours 2.20

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricSheriffZimbruCombined
Goals scored1.670.672.34
Conceded0.330.330.66
Corners11.36.79.0
Cards0.00.70.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

SheriffZimbru

FK Sheriff Tiraspol 51%, FC Zimbru Chişinău 22%. The safest is “FK Sheriff Tiraspol or draw” at 82%.

FK Sheriff Tiraspol 51%Draw 27%FC Zimbru Chişinău 22%
1st half
40 · 40 · 20
2nd half
39 · 39 · 22
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Second half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Sheriff

  • homeCSF Balti7:0
  • awayMilsami1:0
  • homePetrocub2:2
  • awayZimbru1:2
  • homeCSM Politehnica Iasi4:0

Zimbru

  • homeCSCA Buiucani0:1
  • homeCSM Politehnica Iasi2:1
  • awaySireti2:0
  • homeSheriff2:1
  • awayCSF Balti4:0

Head to head

  • 08/29/26Moldovan National Division1:2
  • 07/12/26Moldovan National Division4:2
  • 05/10/26Moldovan National Division1:0
  • 04/05/26Moldovan National Division2:2
  • 11/23/25Moldovan National Division0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Sheriff1384132:1028
2Zimbru1382327:1226
3Petrocub1373324:1324
4CSCA Buiucani1362517:1620

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.