All matches

Obolon-Brovar Kyiv vs Zorya Luhansk prediction

Ukraine, Premier League

VARStats prediction for 28 November: Zorya Luhansk 57%, draw 26%, Obolon-Brovar Kyiv 17%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
17%26%57%
Obolon-Brovar Kyiv17%Draw26%Zorya Luhansk57%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Obolon-Brovar Kyiv17%6.02—
XDraw26%3.85—
2Zorya Luhansk57%1.74—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes52%

Fair price 1.91

No48%

Fair price 2.10

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Obolon-Brovar KyivZorya Luhansk

FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv 17%, FC Zorya Luhansk 57%. The safest is “FC Zorya Luhansk or draw” at 83%.

FC Obolon-Brovar Kyiv 17%Draw 26%FC Zorya Luhansk 57%
1st half
20 · 40 · 40
2nd half
21 · 34 · 45
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Under 25.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricObolon-Brovar KyivZorya LuhanskCombined
Goals scored0.801.202.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Obolon-Brovar Kyiv
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • Fewest shots on target in the league — 1.8 per match16 teams in the league
  • Relegation zone: 14th of 16
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches9 goals conceded
Zorya Luhansk
  • schedule7 days’ rest
  • Unbeaten away in 7 matches0:0, 3:1, 1:1, 1:1, 2:1
  • 2nd in the league for shots on target — 5.0 per match16 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Obolon-Brovar Kyiv

  • awayShakhtar Donetsk0:2
  • awayPolissya Zhytomyr0:3
  • homeVeres Rivne2:0
  • awayChornomorets Odessa1:1
  • awayLNZ Cherkasy1:3

Zorya Luhansk

  • homeEpitsentr Dunayivtsi1:0
  • awayShakhtar Donetsk0:0
  • homeChornomorets Odessa2:1
  • awayLivyi Bereh3:1
  • homeDynamo Kyiv0:2

Head to head

  • 04/05/26Premier League3:3
  • 09/27/25Premier League0:0
  • 03/07/25Premier League1:2
  • 08/30/24Premier League0:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Metalist Kharkiv970218:721
5Karpaty Lviv1154222:819
6Zorya Luhansk1153313:1318
7LNZ Cherkasy1043310:915
8Kolos Kovalivka932412:1311
12Veres Rivne112367:169
13Livyi Bereh91536:88
14Obolon-Brovar Kyiv101454:177
15Kryvbas91357:156
16Kudrivka1112811:295

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.