All matches

FC Lyn Oslo — Moss FK, First Division

Norway, First Division

FC Lyn Oslo
LLWDD
—
Moss FK
LWLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
53%23%24%
FC Lyn Oslo53%Draw23%Moss FK24%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1FC Lyn Oslo53%1.90—
XDraw23%4.39—
2Moss FK24%4.09—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.60

No38%

ours 2.67

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricFC Lyn OsloMoss FKCombined
Goals scored0.671.001.67
Conceded1.001.502.50
Corners12.012.012.0
Cards1.30.82.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Confident answers

The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals

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70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 878 matches

Corners

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70%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 877 matches

Cards

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68%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 874 matches

This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

FC Lyn OsloMoss FK

FC Lyn Oslo 53%, Moss FK 24%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FC Lyn Oslo 53%Draw 23%Moss FK 24%
1st half
48 · 33 · 19
2nd half
32 · 34 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

FC Lyn Oslo

  • awayBryne FK0:1
  • homeRanheim Fotball1:4
  • awayIL Hødd2:0
  • homeEgersunds IK1:1
  • awayKongsvinger IL4:4

Moss FK

  • homeKongsvinger IL0:2
  • awaySandnes Ulf2:1
  • homeHaugesund1:4
  • awayStabæk Fotball3:2
  • homeStrømmen IF1:2

Head to head

  • 04/26/26First Division1:2
  • 10/05/25First Division4:0
  • 05/11/25First Division0:2
  • 11/09/24First Division1:2
  • 04/01/24First Division0:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Ranheim Fotball24941161:5831
9Egersunds IK24851136:4929
10FC Lyn Oslo24841239:4928
11Strømmen IF24751238:5526
12Sandnes Ulf24741335:4525
13Moss FK24741338:5425
14Sogndal Fotball23651238:5323
15Åsane Fotball24551434:5320

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.