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Juarez vs Tigres UANL: result 2:0

Mexico, Liga MXMatch finished

Final score 2:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Tigres UANL 52%, draw 25%, Juarez 23%.

Juarez
1.2WDLLD
2:0HT 0:0
Tigres UANL
2.0LDLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
23%25%52%
JuarezPrice 3.9823%DrawPrice 3.4825%Tigres UANLPrice 1.8552%
Line-upsJuarez4-2-3-1—Tigres UANL4-2-3-1

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Juarez4-2-3-1Tigres UANL4-2-3-1

Juarez 4-2-3-1

Coach: T. Campos

Starting XI

  • 1GKMexicoS. Jurado
  • 33DFMexicoF. Nevárez
  • 3DFColombiaJ. Murillo
  • 26DFChileD. Piña
  • 20DFMexicoJ. Aquino
  • 13MFBrazilRodrigo Dourado
  • 6MFSpainMonchu
  • 5MFMexicoD. García
  • 2MFMexicoG. Sepúlveda
  • 11MFPanamaJ. Rodríguez
  • 19FWColombiaÓ. Estupiñán

Substitutes

  • 183MFMexicoL. Silva
  • 24GKMexicoB. Díaz
  • 8MFBrazilGuilherme Castilho
  • 7MFMexicoR. Fulgencio
  • 9FWBrazilMadson
  • 14DFMexicoE. López
  • 17FWMexicoL. Martínez Dupuy
  • 4DFMexicoA. Mayorga
  • 21MFPortugalRicardinho
  • 23DFMexicoH. Ortega

Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Vucetich

Starting XI

  • 1GKArgentinaN. Guzmán
  • 14DFMexicoJ. Garza
  • 28DFBrazilJoaquim
  • 15DFArgentinaA. Franco
  • 19DFMexicoM. Laínez
  • 8MFUruguayF. Gorriarán
  • 23MFBrazilRômulo
  • 21MFMexicoR. Monreal
  • 11MFArgentinaJ. Brunetta
  • 30MFMexicoD. Sánchez
  • 17FWUruguayR. Aguirre

Substitutes

  • 5MFUruguayC. Araújo
  • 198MFI. Galvan
  • 33DFMexicoR. Guerrero
  • 9FWUruguayE. Gómez
  • 77FWMexicoO. Herrera
  • 32DFMexicoV. Loroña
  • 22FWMexicoG. Martínez
  • 26DFMexicoF. Ordóñez
  • 25GKMexicoF. Rodríguez
  • 6MFMexicoJ. Vigón

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.51xG1.59
43Possession, %57
14Shots13
5Shots on target5
2Corners9
1Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
10Fouls13
0Offsides5

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 62 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Tigres UANL52%

    Actual: Juarez — we had 23%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.554%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 46%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    Yes55%

    Actual: No — we had 45%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Juarez23%23%4.343.98+0.5
XDraw25%26%3.973.48-0.8
2Tigres UANL52%51%1.931.85+0.3

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Juarez

  • homeQueretaro3:1
  • awayNecaxa1:1
  • homeAtlante0:1
  • awayCruz Azul0:5
  • homeTijuana1:1

Tigres UANL

  • awayPachuca0:3
  • awayPumas UNAM1:1
  • homeLeon0:2
  • awayGuadalajara1:1
  • homeDeportivo Toluca3:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Liga MX2:0
  • 03/23/26Liga MX2:1
  • 07/20/25Liga MX0:1
  • 02/26/25Liga MX1:0
  • 09/23/24Liga MX0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
13Atletico San Luis1554619:2319
14Puebla1544717:2316
15Tigres UANL1536615:2215
16Atlante1535716:2414
17Necaxa1524916:2810
18Juarez15221112:348

More matches in this competition

Mexico, Liga MX: upcoming and recently played.

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Upcoming

Necaxa–Tijuana422533Atletico San Luis–Juarez562421Atlante–Santos Laguna452530Atlas–Pachuca432731Tigres UANL–Cruz Azul332641

Played

Cruz Azul2:1Leon572320✓Santos Laguna1:0Necaxa532324✓America2:2Deportivo Toluca422434×

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.