Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.01
No50%
ours 1.99
All matches
BATE Borisov — Torpedo Zhodino, Vysheyshaya Liga
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
35%29%36%
BATE Borisov35%Draw29%Torpedo Zhodino36%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model vs market
Our probability against the market’s — the bookmaker price with its margin removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1BATE Borisov2.86—
XDraw3.42—
2Torpedo Zhodino2.79—
our modelmarket — bookmaker price, margin removed
Quick markets
The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3725 matches
Corners
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3714 matches
Cards
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3703 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
BATE BorisovTorpedo Zhodino
FC BATE Borisov 35%, FC Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
FC BATE Borisov 35%Draw 29%FC Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino 36%
1st half
29 · 48 · 23
2nd half
33 · 33 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricBATE BorisovTorpedo ZhodinoCombined
Goals scored0.600.801.40
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
BATE Borisov- 3 defeats in a row0:1, 1:2, 0:2, 2:1, 0:2
- Fewest shots on target in the league — 2.8 per match16 teams in the league
- Relegation zone: 14th of 16
Torpedo Zhodino- Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 8.1 per match16 teams in the league
- Won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings3:0, 0:1, 3:2, 2:1, 2:0
- Never led at half-time in the last 10 matches
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
BATE Borisov
- homeBelshina Bobruisk0:1
- awayDnepr Mogilev1:2
- homeNeman Grodno0:2
- homeSlavia-Mozyr2:1
- awayDinamo Minsk0:2
Torpedo Zhodino
- awaySlavia-Mozyr2:4
- homeNaftan Novopolotsk1:0
- awayMaxline0:2
- awayMinsk1:0
- awayVitebsk0:6
Head to head
- 06/27/26Vysheyshaya Liga0:3
- 10/25/25Vysheyshaya Liga1:0
- 05/31/25Vysheyshaya Liga2:3
- 08/25/24Vysheyshaya Liga1:2
- 04/13/24Vysheyshaya Liga0:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.