All matches

Baranovichi — Naftan Novopolotsk, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

Baranovichi
1.7LDWWD
—
Naftan Novopolotsk
0.6WDLLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
55%24%21%
Baranovichi55%Draw24%Naftan Novopolotsk21%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Baranovichi55%1.81—
XDraw24%4.14—
2Naftan Novopolotsk21%4.85—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.79

No44%

ours 2.26

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBaranovichiNaftan NovopolotskCombined
Goals scored0.330.500.83
Conceded0.500.831.33
Corners12.015.013.5
Cards2.72.35.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

BaranovichiNaftan Novopolotsk

FK Baranovichi 55%, FC Naftan Novopolotsk 21%. The safest is “FK Baranovichi or draw” at 76%.

FK Baranovichi 55%Draw 24%FC Naftan Novopolotsk 21%
1st half
43 · 35 · 22
2nd half
35 · 39 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Baranovichi

  • homeGomel0:2
  • awayArsenal Dzyarzhynsk0:0
  • homeDnepr Mogilev2:1
  • awayDinamo Minsk1:0
  • homeDinamo Brest1:1

Naftan Novopolotsk

  • awaySlavia-Mozyr1:0
  • awayBATE Borisov2:2
  • homeMinsk0:3
  • awayDinamo Minsk1:5
  • awayVitebsk0:2

Head to head

  • 06/19/26Vysheyshaya Liga0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Torpedo Zhodino2276928:2927
10Slavia-Mozyr2267923:2625
11Baranovichi23671024:3825
12Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
13Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621
14BATE Borisov22391016:2718
15Dnepr Mogilev232101120:3616
16Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.