All matches

Dnepr Mogilev — Gomel, Vysheyshaya Liga

Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga

Dnepr Mogilev
0.8LDLDD
—
Gomel
2.3WLWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
24%23%53%
Dnepr Mogilev24%Draw23%Gomel53%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Dnepr Mogilev24%4.15—
XDraw23%4.30—
2Gomel53%1.90—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes53%

ours 1.88

No47%

ours 2.13

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDnepr MogilevGomelCombined
Goals scored0.670.831.50
Conceded1.170.501.67
Corners12.79.010.8
Cards2.02.04.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other six metrics — with a subscription

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Dnepr MogilevGomel

FC Dnepr Mogilev 24%, FK Gomel 53%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

FC Dnepr Mogilev 24%Draw 23%FK Gomel 53%
1st half
32 · 41 · 27
2nd half
25 · 36 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription

More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Over 7.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with a subscription

Form and context

Dnepr Mogilev

  • awayDinamo Brest2:4
  • homeVitebsk1:1
  • awayBaranovichi1:2
  • homeIsloch0:0
  • awayTorpedo Zhodino0:0

Gomel

  • awayBaranovichi2:0
  • awayIsloch1:2
  • awayTorpedo Zhodino2:1
  • homeBelshina Bobruisk1:0
  • awaySlavia-Mozyr0:0

Head to head

  • 06/20/26Vysheyshaya Liga0:2
  • 10/20/24Vysheyshaya Liga1:1
  • 05/27/24Vysheyshaya Liga0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Dinamo Minsk21134437:1643
4Dinamo Brest23124738:2340
5Gomel23116633:1839
6Neman Grodno22114726:2037
7Vitebsk23106728:2136
8Minsk23104930:2834
9Torpedo Zhodino2276928:2927
10Slavia-Mozyr2267923:2625
11Baranovichi23671024:3825
12Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
13Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621
14BATE Borisov22391016:2718
15Dnepr Mogilev232101120:3616
16Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.