Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.84
No46%
ours 2.19
All matches
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Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — BATE Borisov, Vysheyshaya Liga
Belarus, Vysheyshaya Liga
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.4LDDLL
BATE Borisov
1.5LDLLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%26%38%
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk36%Draw26%BATE Borisov38%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk2.75—
XDraw3.87—
2BATE Borisov2.64—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricArsenal DzyarzhynskBATE BorisovCombined
Goals scored0.330.330.66
Conceded1.000.671.67
Corners8.011.59.8
Cards2.31.03.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Arsenal DzyarzhynskBATE Borisov
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 36%, FC BATE Borisov 38%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
FK Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 36%Draw 26%FC BATE Borisov 38%
1st half
35 · 40 · 25
2nd half
27 · 37 · 36
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Over 1.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
- awayVitebsk1:5
- homeBaranovichi0:0
- awayIsloch1:1
- homeTorpedo Zhodino2:4
- awayBelshina Bobruisk0:2
BATE Borisov
- awayDinamo Minsk0:2
- homeNaftan Novopolotsk2:2
- awayDinamo Brest0:1
- awayIsloch0:2
- homeMinsk2:1
Head to head
- 06/21/26Vysheyshaya Liga3:2
- 09/21/25Vysheyshaya Liga0:0
- 05/02/25Vysheyshaya Liga0:1
- 10/20/24Vysheyshaya Liga2:3
- 05/26/24Vysheyshaya Liga2:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10
Slavia-Mozyr2267923:2625
Slavia-Mozyr2267923:262511
Baranovichi23671024:3825
Baranovichi23671024:382512Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:4123
Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk23581024:412313
Belshina Bobruisk22561122:3621
Belshina Bobruisk22561122:362114BATE Borisov22391016:2718
BATE Borisov22391016:271815
Dnepr Mogilev232101120:3616
Dnepr Mogilev232101120:361616
Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414
Naftan Novopolotsk23351520:5414Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.