All matches

Artis Brno vs Jablonec prediction

Czech Republic, First League

VARStats prediction for 21 November: Jablonec 48%, Artis Brno 27%, draw 25%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

1.6DDWDL
  
2.1LWDLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
27%25%48%
Artis Brno27%Draw25%Jablonec48%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Artis Brno27%3.72—
XDraw25%3.95—
2Jablonec48%2.09—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.61

No38%

ours 2.65

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Artis BrnoJablonec

FC Artis Brno 27%, FK Jablonec 48%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

FC Artis Brno 27%Draw 25%FK Jablonec 48%
1st half
22 · 35 · 43
2nd half
32 · 33 · 35
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Over 23.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricArtis BrnoJablonecCombined
Goals scored1.401.202.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Artis Brno
  • Winless at home in 6 matches2:2, 0:0, 0:3, 0:4, 1:2
  • Fewest corners in the league in their matches — 8.2 per match16 teams in the league
  • Relegation zone: 14th of 16
Jablonec
  • Fewest yellow cards in the league — 1.2 per match16 teams in the league
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
  • One win in the last 5 matches0:5, 2:1, 0:0, 2:3, 2:3

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Artis Brno

  • homeFASTAV Zlin2:2
  • awayTeplice0:0
  • awayHradec Kralove4:2
  • homeSlovan Liberec0:0
  • awayZbrojovka Brno1:2

Jablonec

  • homeSlavia Prague0:5
  • awayHradec Kralove2:1
  • homeBrighton0:0
  • homeViktoria Plzen2:3
  • awayFreiburg2:3

Head to head

No head-to-head matches on record.

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Slovan Liberec1272315:823
6Teplice1363421:1821
7Jablonec1362516:1820
8Zbrojovka Brno1362516:1920
9Viktoria Plzen1354428:2119
10Bohemians 19051245313:1317
11Hradec Kralove1343612:1815
12Pardubice1342715:1914
13Banik Ostrava123277:2211
14Artis Brno1224613:2210
15Slovacko1314812:267
16FASTAV Zlin13031011:263

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.