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Estudiantes de Merida vs Trujillanos: result 1:1

Venezuela, Primera DivisiónMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Estudiantes de Merida 63%, draw 23%, Trujillanos 14%.

1:1HT 0:0
1.3WLDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
63%23%14%
Estudiantes de MeridaPrice 1.5163%DrawPrice 3.6423%TrujillanosPrice 5.8314%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.53xG1.55
58Possession, %42
20Shots12
8Shots on target5
5Corners4
0Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
10Fouls11
1Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 76 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Estudiantes de Merida63%

    Actual: Draw — we had 23%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.553%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 47%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No51%

    Actual: Yes — we had 49%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Estudiantes de Merida63%63%1.581.51+0.4
XDraw23%23%4.443.64-0.9
2Trujillanos14%14%7.045.83+0.5

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Estudiantes de Merida

  • homeMetropolitanos2:2
  • awayMonagas1:2
  • homeTrujillanos1:1
  • awayPortuguesa1:2
  • homeDeportivo Tachira2:0

Trujillanos

  • awayDeportivo La Guaira2:1
  • homeAcademia Puerto Cabello0:1
  • awayEstudiantes de Merida1:1
  • homeRayo Zuliano2:4
  • awayZamora2:1

Head to head

  • 09/20/26Primera División1:1
  • 04/12/26Primera División2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Portuguesa351115943:3848
8Estudiantes de Merida321171438:4240
9Caracas298111034:3835
10Monagas29951535:4532
11Rayo Zuliano26831532:5127
12Zamora26671326:4125
13Trujillanos26461623:4618
14Academia Anzoategui26451723:4717

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.