Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.74
No43%
ours 2.35
All matches
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Estrella Roja — Real Espana, Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras
Honduras, Liga Nacional de Fútbol Profesional de Honduras
Estrella Roja
1.8LDLDW
Real Espana
2.9WDWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%28%39%
Estrella Roja33%Draw28%Real Espana39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Estrella Roja2.99—
XDraw3.61—
2Real Espana2.57—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEstrella RojaReal EspanaCombined
Goals scored1.831.333.16
Conceded2.500.673.17
Corners11.38.810.1
Cards0.00.00.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Estrella RojaReal Espana
Estrella Roja 33%, Real CD España 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Estrella Roja 33%Draw 28%Real CD España 39%
1st half
31 · 42 · 26
2nd half
33 · 38 · 29
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total goals: Under 3.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Estrella Roja
- awayAtletico Choloma0:2
- homePlatense2:2
- awayMarathon0:5
- homeOlimpia2:2
- homeJuticalpa5:2
Real Espana
- homeMotagua1:0
- awayOlancho1:1
- homeLobos UPNFM2:0
- homeAtletico Choloma2:1
- awayMarathon1:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Real Espana853013:418
Real Espana853013:4182
Olimpia852119:717
Olimpia852119:7173
Marathon852114:617
Marathon852114:6174
Motagua841311:813
Motagua841311:8135
Policia National832310:611
Policia National832310:6116
Olancho82516:511
Olancho82516:5117Estrella Roja823313:169
Estrella Roja823313:1698
Atletico Independiente82337:119
Atletico Independiente82337:1199
Lobos UPNFM82247:128
Lobos UPNFM82247:128Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.