Both teams to score
Yes60%
ours 1.65
No40%
ours 2.53
All matches
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En Avant Guingamp — AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 2
France, Ligue 2
En Avant Guingamp
LWDDL
AS Saint-Étienne
1.3DLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
30%24%46%
En Avant Guingamp30%Draw24%AS Saint-Étienne46%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1En Avant Guingamp3.36—
XDraw4.10—
2AS Saint-Étienne2.18—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricEn Avant GuingampAS Saint-ÉtienneCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded1.000.831.83
Corners7.08.07.5
Cards1.32.33.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
En Avant GuingampAS Saint-Étienne
En Avant Guingamp 30%, AS Saint-Étienne 46%. The safest is “No draw” at 76%.
En Avant Guingamp 30%Draw 24%AS Saint-Étienne 46%
1st half
28 · 36 · 36
2nd half
29 · 31 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
68%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
En Avant Guingamp
- homeRed Star FC 931:3
- homeFC Annecy2:1
- awayStade de Reims2:2
- homeFC Nantes3:3
- awayFC Sochaux-Montbéliard0:1
AS Saint-Étienne
- awayFC Metz2:2
- awayUS du Littoral de Dunkerque1:2
- homeMontpellier HSC3:1
- awayDijon FCO3:2
- homeGrenoble Foot 384:0
Head to head
- 02/14/26Ligue 21:2
- 09/27/25Ligue 23:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1AS Saint-Étienne751119:816
AS Saint-Étienne751119:8162
Red Star FC 9374219:714
Red Star FC 9374219:7143
Stade de Reims734015:913
Stade de Reims734015:9134
Montpellier HSC73316:512
Montpellier HSC73316:5125
FC Metz724110:710
FC Metz724110:7106
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:710
AS Nancy-Lorraine73138:7107
FC Annecy73139:910
FC Annecy73139:9108
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:510
FC Sochaux-Montbéliard72414:5109
Dijon FCO723210:109
Dijon FCO723210:10910
Pau FC72236:68
Pau FC72236:6811En Avant Guingamp722310:128
En Avant Guingamp722310:12812
US du Littoral de Dunkerque722310:128
US du Littoral de Dunkerque722310:12813
Grenoble Foot 3872238:118
Grenoble Foot 3872238:118Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.