Both teams to score
Yes59%
ours 1.70
No41%
ours 2.42
All matches
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Red Star FC 93 — AS Saint-Étienne, Ligue 2
France, Ligue 2
Red Star FC 93
WWWLD
AS Saint-Étienne
1.3DLWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
36%26%39%
Red Star FC 9336%Draw26%AS Saint-Étienne39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Red Star FC 932.80—
XDraw3.91—
2AS Saint-Étienne2.58—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRed Star FC 93AS Saint-ÉtienneCombined
Goals scored1.332.173.50
Conceded1.171.172.34
Corners8.87.68.2
Cards2.81.84.6
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Red Star FC 93AS Saint-Étienne
Red Star FC 93 36%, AS Saint-Étienne 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Red Star FC 93 36%Draw 26%AS Saint-Étienne 39%
1st half
32 · 37 · 31
2nd half
25 · 34 · 40
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Over 2.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Red Star FC 93
- awayEn Avant Guingamp3:1
- homeFC Metz1:0
- awayStade Lavallois Mayenne FC2:1
- homeStade de Reims1:4
- awayUS Boulogne-sur-Mer Côte d'Opale1:1
AS Saint-Étienne
- awayFC Metz2:2
- awayUS du Littoral de Dunkerque1:2
- homeMontpellier HSC3:1
- awayDijon FCO3:2
- homeGrenoble Foot 384:0
Head to head
- 03/07/26Ligue 20:2
- 11/01/25Ligue 22:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1AS Saint-Étienne751119:816
AS Saint-Étienne751119:8162Red Star FC 9374219:714
Red Star FC 9374219:7143
Stade de Reims734015:913
Stade de Reims734015:9134
Montpellier HSC73316:512
Montpellier HSC73316:512Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.