Both teams to score
Yes51%
Fair price 1.96
No49%
Fair price 2.04
All matches
Deportivo Tachira vs Caracas prediction
VARStats prediction for 21 November: Deportivo Tachira 64%, draw 24%, Caracas 12%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
64%24%12%
Deportivo Tachira64%Draw24%Caracas12%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Deportivo Tachira1.56—
XDraw4.22—
2Caracas8.18—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Deportivo TachiraCaracas
Deportivo Táchira FC 64%, Caracas FC 12%. The safest is “Deportivo Táchira FC or draw” at 86%.
Deportivo Táchira FC 64%Draw 24%Caracas FC 12%
1st half
42 · 41 · 17
2nd half
46 · 36 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total offsides: Over 1.5
72%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricDeportivo TachiraCaracasCombined
Goals scored2.202.004.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Deportivo Tachira- schedule14 days’ rest
- Unbeaten at home in 7 matches2:0, 4:1, 1:1, 3:1, 0:0
- Best attack in the league — 60 goals in 35 matches1st place, 71 points
- Unbeaten in 7 matches1:0, 2:0, 2:1, 2:2, 4:1
Caracas- schedule14 days’ rest
- 10 goals in the last 5 matches2:3, 1:0, 1:2, 2:1, 4:1
- Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 52:3, 1:0, 1:2, 2:1, 4:1
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Deportivo Tachira
- awayAcademia Puerto Cabello1:0
- homeMonagas2:0
- awayCaracas2:1
- awayCarabobo2:2
- homeUniversidad Central de Venezuela4:1
Caracas
- homeMonagas2:3
- awayAcademia Puerto Cabello1:0
- homeDeportivo Tachira1:2
- awayRayo Zuliano2:1
- homeZamora4:1
Head to head
- 10/24/26Primera División2:1
- 08/30/26Primera División0:0
- 03/07/26Primera División1:0
- 11/05/25Primera División0:0
- 10/22/25Primera División2:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Venezuela, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.