UEFA Nations League

CyprusППВНН
—
ArmeniaВПППП
1Cyprus60%model1.66
XDraw19%model5.22
2Armenia21%model4.85
calculated at 23:13, 356 мс

Outcome

Cyprus60%
Draw19%
Armenia21%

Corners

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Total 2.5

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Both teams to score

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Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Cyprus vs Armenia

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Home advantage and current form favour Cyprus: a home win is rated at 60%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Cyprus

LLWDD
  • awayMontenegro1:2
  • homeAustria0:2
  • awaySan Marino4:0
  • homeBosnia Herzegovina2:2
  • homeRomania2:2

Armenia

WLLLL
  • homeLatvia2:0
  • awayPortugal1:9
  • homeHungary0:1
  • awayRepublic of Ireland0:1
  • awayHungary0:2

League table

League table

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Austria11003:13
2Armenia11002:03
3Lithuania11002:03
4Belgium11002:03
5Norway11003:23
6Montenegro11002:13
7Malta11002:13
8Greece11002:13
9Sweden11002:13
10Northern Ireland11001:03
11Kosovo11001:03
12Portugal11001:03
13Ukraine11001:03
14France11001:03
15Germany10101:11
16Netherlands10101:11
17Bosnia Herzegovina10100:01
18Poland10100:01
19Denmark10012:30
20Serbia10011:20
21Andorra10011:20
22Romania10011:20
23Cyprus10011:20
24Georgia10010:10
25Turkey10010:10
…

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.