UEFA Nations League

ArmeniaППППВ
—
MontenegroПВППП
1Armenia19%model5.20
XDraw24%model4.11
2Montenegro56%model1.77

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:08, 164 мс

Outcome

Armenia19%
Draw24%
Montenegro56%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Armenia vs Montenegro

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Montenegro still look stronger — an away win is rated at 56%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Armenia

LLLLW
  • awayPortugal1:9
  • homeHungary0:1
  • awayRepublic of Ireland0:1
  • awayHungary0:2
  • homeRepublic of Ireland2:1

Montenegro

LWLLL
  • homeCroatia2:3
  • awayGibraltar2:1
  • awayFaroe Islands0:4
  • awayCroatia0:4
  • homeCzech Republic0:2

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Армения vs Черногория: prediction and stats — VARstats