UEFA Nations League

LatviaВВППН
—
CyprusПВННП
1Latvia17%model5.81
XDraw26%model3.86
2Cyprus57%model1.76

Goals

Corners

Cards

Offsides

Throw-ins

Fouls

xG

Shots

Shots on target

calculated at 21:06, 177 мс

Outcome

Latvia17%
Draw26%
Cyprus57%

Corners

Subscribers only

Total 2.5

Subscribers only

Both teams to score

Subscribers only

Model vs bookmaker value

Where the model disagrees with the bookmaker most.

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Model take on Latvia vs Cyprus

Built from the numbers: expected goals, form, rest, absences and referee records.

Away from home, Cyprus still look stronger — an away win is rated at 57%.

Most likely scorelines:…

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What drives the numbers

Form, rest, fixture load and league position

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Recent matches

Latvia

WWLLD
  • homeGibraltar1:0
  • awayGibraltar1:0
  • awaySerbia1:2
  • homeEngland0:5
  • homeAndorra2:2

Cyprus

LWDDL
  • homeAustria0:2
  • awaySan Marino4:0
  • homeBosnia Herzegovina2:2
  • homeRomania2:2
  • awayAustria0:1

League table

The table appears once a few rounds have been played.

Three scenarios

One pick from each odds range

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Markets in detail

Probabilities are a statistical estimate from past matches, not a prediction of the result.

Латвия vs Кипр: prediction and stats — VARstats