All matches

Atlas vs Pumas UNAM: result 1:1

Mexico, Liga MXMatch finished

Final score 1:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Pumas UNAM 40%, Atlas 33%, draw 27%.

1.8WWLWD
1:1HT 1:1
2.1WDLWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
33%27%40%
Atlas33%Draw27%Pumas UNAM40%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.98xG1.13
53Possession, %47
20Shots10
4Shots on target3
8Corners6
0Yellow cards0
0Red cards1
7Fouls8
4Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 73 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Pumas UNAM40%

    Actual: Draw — we had 27%

  • Total goals Missed
    Over 2.553%

    Actual: Under 2.5 — we had 47%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes57%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Atlas33%3.01—
XDraw27%3.72—
2Pumas UNAM40%2.51—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Atlas

  • awayAtletico San Luis1:0
  • homePuebla4:3
  • homeAmerica2:5
  • awayNecaxa2:0
  • homeGuadalajara1:1

Pumas UNAM

  • awayPuebla2:1
  • homeTigres UANL1:1
  • awaySantos Laguna0:2
  • awayAtlante2:1
  • homeCruz Azul3:3

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Liga MX1:1
  • 02/08/26Liga MX2:2
  • 08/31/25Liga MX0:1
  • 01/26/25Liga MX0:0
  • 08/25/24Liga MX2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Guadalajara1585225:1429
3Cruz Azul1592434:2429
4Atlas1583426:2627
5Deportivo Toluca1566331:2124
6Tijuana1557325:2122
7Leon1564522:2022
8Santos Laguna1571721:2022
9Monterrey1463526:2121
10Pumas UNAM1555522:2420
11Queretaro1462618:2120
12Pachuca1554625:1919

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.