All matches

Deportivo Pereira vs America de Cali prediction

Colombia, Primera A

VARStats prediction for 12 November: America de Cali 54%, draw 26%, Deportivo Pereira 20%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
20%26%54%
Deportivo Pereira20%Draw26%America de Cali54%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Deportivo Pereira20%5.06—
XDraw26%3.87—
2America de Cali54%1.84—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes51%

Fair price 1.98

No49%

Fair price 2.03

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Deportivo PereiraAmerica de Cali

CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 20%, Sociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA 54%. The safest is “Sociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA or draw” at 80%.

CS Deportiva y Cultural de Pereira 20%Draw 26%Sociedad Anónima Deportiva América SA 54%
1st half
23 · 45 · 32
2nd half
17 · 35 · 48
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Under 26.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricDeportivo PereiraAmerica de CaliCombined
Goals scored1.001.802.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Deportivo Pereira
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 51:0, 1:1, 2:0, 1:1, 0:0
  • Unbeaten in 5 matches1:0, 1:1, 2:0, 1:1, 0:0
  • Relegation zone: 20th of 20
America de Cali
  • schedule3 matches in 8 days
  • Unbeaten away in 6 matches1:1, 2:1, 1:1, 2:2, 0:0
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 52:1, 3:1, 1:1, 1:2, 2:1
  • Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings1:0, 1:2, 2:0, 1:0, 0:2

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Deportivo Pereira

  • homeJaguares de Cordoba1:0
  • awayOnce Caldas1:1
  • homeBoyaca Chico2:0
  • awayJunior1:1
  • homeDeportivo Cali0:0

America de Cali

  • homeFortaleza CEIF2:1
  • homeCucuta Deportivo3:1
  • awayBucaramanga1:1
  • homeIndependiente Medellin1:2
  • awayLlaneros2:1

Head to head

  • 05/03/26Primera A0:1
  • 08/14/25Primera A2:1
  • 03/02/25Primera A0:2
  • 09/15/24Primera A0:1
  • 03/02/24Primera A2:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Atletico Nacional42294982:3591
2America de Cali37208957:3268
3Independiente Santa Fe391615858:4163
4Deportivo Cali361612846:2660
5Junior4216121461:5560
6Once Caldas381416854:4358
7Deportes Tolima3915121249:4057
8Millonarios351313955:3752
9Bucaramanga361216852:3752
10Independiente Medellin361571451:4952
11Rionegro Aguilas3613121142:4551
12Inter Bogotá3811151249:5848
13Pasto371371740:5246
14Llaneros3610121436:4342
15Cucuta Deportivo359101640:5937
16Alianza Valledupar368111730:5635
17Fortaleza CEIF366161439:5234
18Boyaca Chico36962128:6033
19Jaguares de Cordoba35872037:6231
20Deportivo Pereira354151627:5127

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.