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Pumas UNAM vs Atletico San Luis: result 2:3

Mexico, Liga MXMatch finished

Final score 2:3. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Pumas UNAM 62%, draw 22%, Atletico San Luis 17%.

2.1WDLWD
2:3HT 0:1
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
62%22%17%
Pumas UNAMPrice 1.9862%DrawPrice 3.4622%Atletico San LuisPrice 3.5017%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.86xG1.34
54Possession, %46
15Shots11
6Shots on target7
11Corners2
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
12Fouls10
4Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 170 of 255void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Pumas UNAM62%

    Actual: Atletico San Luis — we had 17%

  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.556%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes54%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Pumas UNAM62%48%1.621.98+13.7
XDraw22%26%4.603.46-4.5
2Atletico San Luis17%26%6.013.50-9.3

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Pumas UNAM

  • awayPuebla2:1
  • homeTigres UANL1:1
  • awaySantos Laguna0:2
  • awayAtlante2:1
  • homeCruz Azul3:3

Atletico San Luis

  • homeAtlas0:1
  • awayAtlante1:0
  • homeQueretaro2:1
  • awayDeportivo Toluca1:1
  • homeSantos Laguna1:2

Head to head

  • 09/27/26Liga MX2:3
  • 04/18/26Liga MX2:0
  • 10/23/25Liga MX0:1
  • 02/03/25Liga MX3:2
  • 10/20/24Liga MX3:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Santos Laguna1571721:2022
9Monterrey1463526:2121
10Pumas UNAM1555522:2420
11Queretaro1462618:2120
12Pachuca1554625:1919
13Atletico San Luis1554619:2319
14Puebla1544717:2316
15Tigres UANL1536615:2215

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.