Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85price 1.82
No46%
ours 2.17price 1.94
All matches
Rubio Nu — Sportivo Luqueno, Division Profesional: match prediction and stats
Match prediction and stats
Paraguay, Division Profesional
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
47%27%27%
Rubio NuPrice 2.0247%DrawPrice 3.4327%Sportivo LuquenoPrice 3.5327%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Rubio Nu2.152.02-0.7
XDraw3.713.43+0.2
2Sportivo Luqueno3.773.53+0.5
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Rubio NuSportivo Luqueno
Club Rubio Ñú 47%, Club Sportivo Luqueño 27%. The safest is “Club Rubio Ñú or draw” at 73%.
Club Rubio Ñú 47%Draw 27%Club Sportivo Luqueño 27%
1st half
30 · 43 · 26
2nd half
36 · 31 · 33
Prices: 2.02 · 3.43 · 3.53
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 4.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with Premium
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricRubio NuSportivo LuquenoCombined
Goals scored1.201.002.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other nine metrics — with Premium
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Rubio Nu- Winless at home in 4 matches0:2, 0:0, 2:2, 0:1, 3:1
- Relegation zone: 10th of 12
Sportivo Luqueno- Winless away in 5 matches0:1, 2:3, 0:3, 2:2, 0:2
- Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches12 goals conceded
- Relegation zone: 11th of 12
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Rubio Nu
- awaySportivo Trinidense4:2
- homeGuarani0:2
- awayRecoleta0:1
- homeClub Olimpia0:0
- awaySportivo Ameliano2:1
Sportivo Luqueno
- homeNacional0:3
- awayLibertad0:1
- homeSportivo San Lorenzo3:2
- homeCerro Porteno0:3
- awaySportivo Trinidense2:3
Head to head
- 08/28/26Division Profesional1:2
- 05/02/26Division Profesional0:0
- 03/02/26Division Profesional1:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Paraguay, Division Profesional: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.