Both teams to score
Yes57%
ours 1.77
No43%
ours 2.30
All matches
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Cerro Porteno — Club Olimpia, Division Profesional
Paraguay, Division Profesional
Cerro Porteno
3.0LLWDW
Club Olimpia
3.0WWWWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
37%27%36%
Cerro Porteno37%Draw27%Club Olimpia36%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cerro Porteno2.69—
XDraw3.66—
2Club Olimpia2.82—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricCerro PortenoClub OlimpiaCombined
Goals scored0.330.671.00
Conceded0.670.000.67
Corners12.710.511.6
Cards0.72.53.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Cerro PortenoClub Olimpia
Club Cerro Porteño 37%, Club Olimpia 36%. The safest is “No draw” at 73%.
Club Cerro Porteño 37%Draw 27%Club Olimpia 36%
1st half
36 · 40 · 24
2nd half
29 · 38 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Cerro Porteno
- home2 de Mayo0:2
- awaySportivo Trinidense1:2
- homeRubio Nu1:0
- awayGuarani1:1
- homeNacional1:0
Club Olimpia
- awayLibertad1:0
- awaySportivo San Lorenzo3:0
- homeSportivo Luqueno3:0
- awaySportivo Trinidense2:1
- homeGuarani1:1
Head to head
- 08/23/26Division Profesional1:2
- 02/21/26Division Profesional0:1
- 10/19/25Division Profesional1:1
- 08/03/25Division Profesional3:2
- 05/03/25Division Profesional1:2
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Club Olimpia33225655:2671
Club Olimpia33225655:26712
Nacional341613550:2961
Nacional341613550:29613
Libertad351761255:4057
Libertad351761255:40574
Sportivo Trinidense3515101053:3755
Sportivo Trinidense3515101053:37555Cerro Porteno341671145:3355
Cerro Porteno341671145:33556
Sportivo Ameliano341215741:3451
Sportivo Ameliano341215741:34517
Guarani351214941:3350
Guarani351214941:3350Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.