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Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional: result 2:0

Colombia, Primera AMatch finished

Final score 2:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Atletico Nacional 52%, draw 27%, Llaneros 21%.

1.6WLLWL
2:0HT 2:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
21%27%52%
LlanerosPrice 4.3021%DrawPrice 3.4827%Atletico NacionalPrice 1.7952%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.05xG2.26
21Possession, %79
8Shots20
5Shots on target5
4Corners9
5Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
15Fouls12
2Offsides4

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 64 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Atletico Nacional52%

    Actual: Llaneros — we had 21%

  • Total goals Landed
    Under 2.556%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    No53%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Llaneros21%21%4.664.30+0.8
XDraw27%26%3.743.48+0.8
2Atletico Nacional52%53%1.931.79-1.5

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Llaneros

  • homeJunior3:2
  • awayJaguares de Cordoba0:1
  • homeDeportivo Cali0:3
  • homeIndependiente Santa Fe1:0
  • awayOnce Caldas0:1

Atletico Nacional

  • awayBucaramanga1:1
  • homeIndependiente Santa Fe2:0
  • homeIndependiente Medellin2:1
  • homePasto3:0
  • awayCucuta Deportivo0:1

Head to head

  • 09/21/26Primera A2:0
  • 03/14/26Primera A0:2
  • 10/31/25Primera A0:3
  • 05/11/25Primera A1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Atletico Nacional42294982:3591
2America de Cali37208957:3268
3Independiente Santa Fe391615858:4163
4Deportivo Cali361612846:2660
5Junior4216121461:5560
6Once Caldas381416854:4358
7Deportes Tolima3915121249:4057
8Millonarios351313955:3752
9Bucaramanga361216852:3752
10Independiente Medellin361571451:4952
11Rionegro Aguilas3613121142:4551
12Inter Bogotá3811151249:5848
13Pasto371371740:5246
14Llaneros3610121436:4342
15Cucuta Deportivo359101640:5937
16Alianza Valledupar368111730:5635

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.