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Guarani — Club Olimpia, Division Profesional: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Paraguay, Division Profesional

2.5WWLDD
  
2.9WWDDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
28%29%43%
Guarani28%Draw29%Club Olimpia43%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Guarani28%3.59—
XDraw29%3.40—
2Club Olimpia43%2.34—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes56%

ours 1.78

No44%

ours 2.29

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

GuaraniClub Olimpia

Club Guaraní 28%, Club Olimpia 43%. The safest is “Club Olimpia or draw” at 72%.

Club Guaraní 28%Draw 29%Club Olimpia 43%
1st half
25 · 45 · 30
2nd half
27 · 32 · 41
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total goals: Under 3.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricGuaraniClub OlimpiaCombined
Goals scored1.201.602.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Guarani
  • 11th of 12 for corners — 8.7 per match12 teams in the league
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5
Club Olimpia
  • Unbeaten in 12 matches3:2, 3:0, 0:0, 1:1, 1:0
  • Unbeaten away in 6 matches3:2, 0:0, 1:0, 3:0, 2:1
  • 3 clean sheets in the last 53:2, 3:0, 0:0, 1:1, 1:0

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Guarani

  • home2 de Mayo1:0
  • awayRubio Nu2:0
  • homeNacional0:2
  • awayLibertad2:2
  • homeSportivo San Lorenzo1:1

Club Olimpia

  • awaySportivo Ameliano3:2
  • home2 de Mayo3:0
  • awayRubio Nu0:0
  • homeNacional1:1
  • awayLibertad1:0

Head to head

  • 09/02/26Division Profesional1:1
  • 03/21/26Division Profesional0:2
  • 01/25/26Division Profesional1:2
  • 10/26/25Division Profesional3:1
  • 08/10/25Division Profesional4:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Club Olimpia37247662:2979
2Nacional391914657:3171
3Cerro Porteno371881153:3662
4Sportivo Trinidense3917111158:4262
5Libertad391871459:4561
6Guarani3914151046:3757
7Sportivo Ameliano3912161146:4552
82 de Mayo3913121436:5351

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.