Maldonado vs Cerro Largo: result 2:0
Uruguay, Primera DivisiónMatch finished
Final score 2:0. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Maldonado 45%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 26%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedMaldonado45%
- Total goals LandedUnder 2.565%
- Both teams to score LandedNo59%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Maldonado
- homeDanubio2:1
- awayNacional2:3
- homeLiverpool Montevideo1:1
- homeCentral Espanol3:0
- awayMontevideo City2:0
Cerro Largo
- awayRacing Montevideo1:3
- homeBoston River2:0
- awayCerro1:1
- homeAlbion0:1
- awayDanubio1:2
Head to head
- 09/19/26Primera División2:0
- 03/20/26Primera División1:3
- 10/17/24Primera División0:1
- 04/13/24Primera División0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Uruguay, Primera División: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.