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Bolivar vs Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose: result 4:2

Bolivia, LFPBMatch finished

Final score 4:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Bolivar 84%, draw 11%, Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose 5%.

Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
84%11%
BolivarPrice 1.0384%DrawPrice 9.5011%Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San JosePrice 22.005%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

3.38xG0.88
70Possession, %30
30Shots10
14Shots on target2
10Corners0
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
7Fouls17
3Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

2 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 81 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Bolivar84%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.574%
  • Both teams to score Missed
    No50%

    Actual: Yes — we had 50%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Bolivar84%96%1.191.03-11.6
XDraw11%3%8.879.50+7.9
2Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose5%1%21.1922.00+3.8

Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Bolivar

  • awayGuabira2:1
  • homeUniversitario de Vinto2:1
  • awayNacional Potosi1:0
  • homeBlooming1:0
  • homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose4:2

Gualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose

  • awayThe Strongest2:4
  • homeBlooming2:1
  • awayReal Tomayapo0:1
  • homeGuabira4:1
  • awayBolivar2:4

Head to head

  • 09/18/26LFPB4:2
  • 05/03/26LFPB2:1
  • 09/28/25LFPB2:0
  • 06/08/25LFPB1:3
  • 11/27/24LFPB2:3

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Bolivar24183360:2457
2Always Ready24166258:1754
3The Strongest24146446:2848
4Real Potosi24109531:1739
5Oriente Petrolero24115841:3038
6Aurora24811535:3135
7Nacional Potosi24951036:3232
9Guabira24861035:4930
10Blooming23610731:2528
11Real Oruro24841238:5728
13Universitario de Vinto24631531:4821
15Academia del Balompie24621635:5420
16Real Tomayapo23551316:4020

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.