All matches

Pachuca vs Tijuana: result 2:2

Mexico, Liga MXMatch finished

Final score 2:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Pachuca 49%, draw 27%, Tijuana 24%.

2.2WWLLD
2:2HT 0:2
2.2DDWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
49%27%24%
Pachuca49%Draw27%Tijuana24%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

3.15xG1.00
58Possession, %42
29Shots8
11Shots on target5
10Corners0
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
16Fouls6
2Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 75 of 98void — 2
  • Match result Missed
    Pachuca49%

    Actual: Draw — we had 27%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.552%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 48%

  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes52%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Pachuca49%2.03—
XDraw27%3.72—
2Tijuana24%4.17—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Pachuca

  • homeTigres UANL3:0
  • awayAmerica2:1
  • homeCruz Azul1:2
  • awayMonterrey1:2
  • homeNecaxa3:3

Tijuana

  • awayMonterrey3:3
  • awayAmerica1:1
  • homeSantos Laguna4:1
  • awayDeportivo Toluca2:2
  • homePuebla0:0

Head to head

  • 09/21/26Liga MX2:2
  • 04/23/26Liga MX1:3
  • 08/17/25Liga MX0:2
  • 03/17/25Liga MX4:1
  • 10/05/24Liga MX1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Atlas1583426:2627
5Deportivo Toluca1566331:2124
6Tijuana1557325:2122
7Leon1564522:2022
8Santos Laguna1571721:2022
9Monterrey1463526:2121
10Pumas UNAM1555522:2420
11Queretaro1462618:2120
12Pachuca1554625:1919
13Atletico San Luis1554619:2319
14Puebla1544717:2316

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.