All matches

Real Tomayapo vs Guabira prediction

Bolivia, LFPB

VARStats prediction for 1 December: Real Tomayapo 54%, draw 26%, Guabira 21%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

  
1.8LLDLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
54%26%21%
Real Tomayapo54%Draw26%Guabira21%

Guabira: last match 3 days ago · short rest

Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Real Tomayapo54%1.86—
XDraw26%3.92—
2Guabira21%4.84—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

Fair price 1.68

No40%

Fair price 2.47

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4493 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4478 matches

Cards prediction

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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4463 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Real TomayapoGuabira

CD Real Tomayapo 54%, CD Guabirá 21%. The safest is “CD Real Tomayapo or draw” at 78%.

CD Real Tomayapo 54%Draw 26%CD Guabirá 21%
1st half
38 · 42 · 21
2nd half
48 · 31 · 21
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 5.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricReal TomayapoGuabiraCombined
Goals scored0.401.201.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Real Tomayapo
  • Fewest shots on target in the league — 4.0 per match16 teams in the league
  • Only 2 goals in the last 5 matches1:2, 0:1, 1:0, 0:0, 0:2
  • Relegation zone: 16th of 16
Guabira
  • Winless away in 4 matches0:3, 1:4, 0:6, 1:3, 1:0
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
  • Won 3 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings3:0, 2:3, 1:0, 2:1, 1:2

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Real Tomayapo

  • homeBlooming1:2
  • awayAurora0:1
  • homeGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose1:0
  • awayCultural San Antonio de Bulo Bulo0:0
  • homeOriente Petrolero0:2

Guabira

  • homeBolivar1:2
  • awayNacional Potosi0:3
  • homeOriente Petrolero1:1
  • awayGualberto Villarroel Deportivo San Jose1:4
  • homeAurora3:1

Head to head

  • 08/05/26LFPB0:3
  • 10/17/25LFPB3:2
  • 04/26/25LFPB0:1
  • 11/26/24LFPB1:2
  • 07/31/24LFPB2:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
8Blooming24710733:2631
10Guabira24861035:4930
11Real Oruro24841238:5728
13Universitario de Vinto24631531:4821
15Academia del Balompie24621635:5420
16Real Tomayapo24551417:4220

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.