Both teams to score
Yes58%
ours 1.73
No42%
ours 2.37
All matches
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Sporting Gijon — Albacete, Segunda División
Spain, Segunda División
Sporting Gijon
1.9WLWLL
Albacete
1.7LLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
52%25%23%
Sporting Gijon52%Draw25%Albacete23%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Sporting Gijon1.92—
XDraw4.07—
2Albacete4.29—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricSporting GijonAlbaceteCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded1.331.673.00
Corners9.08.08.5
Cards3.41.85.2
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Sporting GijonAlbacete
Real Sporting de Gijón 52%, Albacete Balompié 23%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Real Sporting de Gijón 52%Draw 25%Albacete Balompié 23%
1st half
39 · 39 · 22
2nd half
35 · 39 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total cards: Under 5.5
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Sporting Gijon
- homeCelta Vigo II3:2
- awayReal Oviedo0:2
- awayAndorra3:1
- homeEldense0:1
- homeGirona0:2
Albacete
- homeEibar1:3
- awayGirona0:2
- homeCordoba1:2
- awayGranada1:1
- awayCastellon0:2
Head to head
- 02/15/26Segunda División1:1
- 09/28/25Segunda División3:4
- 03/23/25Segunda División0:2
- 10/27/24Segunda División3:3
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6
Burgos842212:914
Burgos842212:9147
Sabadell83418:613
Sabadell83418:6138Sporting Gijon84138:813
Sporting Gijon84138:8139
Granada832313:1311
Granada832313:131110
Real Oviedo83238:811
Real Oviedo83238:81111
Las Palmas832312:1311
Las Palmas832312:131112
Tenerife832310:1211
Tenerife832310:121113
Leganes83236:1111
Leganes83236:111114
Real Valladolid82338:119
Real Valladolid82338:11915
Cordoba830513:189
Cordoba830513:18916
Real Sociedad II822411:138
Real Sociedad II822411:13817
Eldense82248:108
Eldense82248:10818
Celta Vigo II822410:148
Celta Vigo II822410:14819
Cadiz814311:107
Cadiz814311:10720
Andorra821512:157
Andorra821512:15721
Ceuta81257:185
Ceuta81257:18522Albacete80175:151
Albacete80175:151Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.