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Caykur Rizespor — Kasimpasa, Süper Lig: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Turkey, Süper Lig

  
1.9WWLDW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
43%28%29%
Caykur Rizespor43%Draw28%Kasimpasa29%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Caykur Rizespor43%2.33—
XDraw28%3.57—
2Kasimpasa29%3.44—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes62%

ours 1.62

No38%

ours 2.62

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Goals and corners — with Premium

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Caykur RizesporKasimpasa

Çaykur Rizespor 43%, Kasimpasa 29%. The safest is “No draw” at 72%.

Çaykur Rizespor 43%Draw 28%Kasimpasa 29%
1st half
41 · 38 · 21
2nd half
33 · 33 · 34
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Double chance: Home or draw

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCaykur RizesporKasimpasaCombined
Goals scored1.201.602.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Caykur Rizespor
  • Winless at home in 5 matches3:4, 0:3, 0:1, 0:2, 2:2
  • Winless in 5 matches0:0, 3:4, 1:2, 0:3, 2:2
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches11 goals conceded
Kasimpasa
  • 4 draws in 9 matches — most in the league7th place, 16 points
  • Won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings0:3, 2:1, 3:2, 1:0
  • 2nd in the league for yellow cards — 2.7 per match18 teams in the league

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Caykur Rizespor

  • awayKocaelispor0:0
  • homeTrabzonspor3:4
  • awayCorum FK1:2
  • homeFenerbahce0:3
  • awayGoztepe2:2

Kasimpasa

  • awayEyupspor1:0
  • homeSamsunspor4:1
  • awayGalatasaray1:3
  • homeKonyaspor0:0
  • awayGenclerbirligi2:1

Head to head

  • 02/28/26Süper Lig3:0
  • 09/28/25Süper Lig1:2
  • 02/09/25Süper Lig2:3
  • 08/31/24Süper Lig0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Fenerbahce1051424:1016
6Corum FK1051421:1616
7Kasimpasa944113:916
8Kocaelispor1051411:916
9Goztepe1043321:1715
10Istanbul Basaksehir1042417:1614
11Erzurumspor104249:1514
12Alanyaspor93339:1112
13Caykur Rizespor1032511:1511
14Konyaspor102266:138
15Gaziantep102269:178

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.