Both teams to score
Yes56%
ours 1.80
No44%
ours 2.25
All matches
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Kasimpasa — Besiktas, Süper Lig
Turkey, Süper Lig
Kasimpasa
1.8DWDDW
Besiktas
3.0LWWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
29%26%46%
Kasimpasa29%Draw26%Besiktas46%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Kasimpasa3.49—
XDraw3.92—
2Besiktas2.18—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKasimpasaBesiktasCombined
Goals scored0.670.331.00
Conceded0.500.501.00
Corners12.711.011.8
Cards3.75.08.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KasimpasaBesiktas
Kasimpasa 29%, Beşiktaş 46%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.
Kasimpasa 29%Draw 26%Beşiktaş 46%
1st half
27 · 36 · 36
2nd half
27 · 40 · 33
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: Away or draw
72%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Kasimpasa
- homeKonyaspor0:0
- awayGenclerbirligi2:1
- homeAmedspor2:2
- awayIstanbul Basaksehir1:1
- awayCorum FK1:0
Besiktas
- awayAmedspor2:3
- homeMarseille4:1
- homeErzurumspor3:0
- awayFenerbahce2:1
- homeCorum FK6:2
Head to head
- 03/19/26Süper Lig1:2
- 10/26/25Süper Lig1:1
- 04/07/25Süper Lig1:1
- 11/02/24Süper Lig3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Amedspor641115:713
Amedspor641115:7132
Galatasaray641113:1013
Galatasaray641113:10133Besiktas640214:712
Besiktas640214:7124
Kocaelispor64027:412
Kocaelispor64027:4125
Alanyaspor63218:611
Alanyaspor63218:6116
Fenerbahce631216:610
Fenerbahce631216:6107
Trabzonspor631213:510
Trabzonspor631213:5108Kasimpasa62407:510
Kasimpasa62407:5109
Caykur Rizespor63127:610
Caykur Rizespor63127:61010
Gaziantep62227:78
Gaziantep62227:78Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.