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Eyupspor — Kocaelispor, Süper Lig: match prediction and stats

Match prediction and stats

Turkey, Süper Lig

1.2LLLLL
  
1.8WLLWL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
23%27%50%
EyupsporSecond estimate 22%23%DrawSecond estimate 26%27%KocaelisporSecond estimate 51%50%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and second estimate

Our probability next to the second estimate — independent, with no mark-up. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelSecond estimateΔ
1Eyupspor23%22%22%+0.9
XDraw27%26%26%+0.7
2Kocaelispor50%51%51%-1.6

our modelsecond estimate — independent, no mark-up

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the second estimate.

Both teams to score

Yes44%

second estimate 49%

No56%

second estimate 51%

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction opens with Premium.

Over 9.5 corners

This prediction opens with Premium.

Goals and corners — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the second estimate.

Combos — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 3839 matches

Corners prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 3828 matches

Cards prediction

This prediction opens with Premium.

71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 3818 matches

Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

EyupsporKocaelispor

Eyüp Spor Kulübü 23%, Kocaelispor Kulübü 50%. The safest is “Kocaelispor Kulübü or draw” at 77%.

Eyüp Spor Kulübü 23%Draw 27%Kocaelispor Kulübü 50%
1st half
30 · 45 · 25
2nd half
28 · 38 · 34

Second estimate: 22% · 26% · 51%

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

The full analysis and both conclusions — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total shots: Under 27.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

Two more scenarios — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricEyupsporKocaelisporCombined
Goals scored0.001.201.20
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

The other nine metrics — with Premium

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Eyupspor
  • Conceded in every one of the last 5 matches17 goals conceded
  • 6 defeats in a row0:1, 0:2, 0:4, 0:8, 0:2
  • No goals in the last 5 matches0:1, 0:2, 0:4, 0:8, 0:2
Kocaelispor

Nothing unusual in recent matches.

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Eyupspor

  • homeKasimpasa0:1
  • awayErzurumspor0:2
  • homeGoztepe0:4
  • awayFenerbahce0:8
  • homeCaykur Rizespor0:2

Kocaelispor

  • awayAlanyaspor2:1
  • homeGoztepe1:2
  • awayBesiktas1:2
  • homeGaziantep2:0
  • awayGalatasaray0:1

Head to head

  • 03/09/26Süper Lig0:1
  • 10/04/25Süper Lig0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Corum FK1051421:1616
7Kasimpasa944113:916
8Kocaelispor950411:915
9Erzurumspor104249:1514
10Goztepe933319:1612
11Alanyaspor93339:1112
12Istanbul Basaksehir932412:1411
13Caykur Rizespor931511:1510
14Gaziantep92259:158
15Konyaspor102266:138
16Genclerbirligi92257:188
17Samsunspor91178:214
18Eyupspor91082:233

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the second estimate on the right.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.