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Carrick Rangers vs Larne: result 2:5

Northern Ireland, PremiershipMatch finished

Final score 2:5. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Larne 62%, draw 22%, Carrick Rangers 16%.

2:5HT 2:3
3.1WDWLL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
16%22%62%
Carrick RangersPrice 4.1416%DrawPrice 3.8822%LarnePrice 1.6562%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.63xG2.16
52Possession, %48
13Shots18
7Shots on target10
11Corners4
2Yellow cards1
1Red cards0
13Fouls14
3Offsides3

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

1 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 64 of 100
  • Match result Landed
    Larne62%
  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.556%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 44%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No59%

    Actual: Yes — we had 41%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Carrick Rangers16%21%6.154.14-4.3
XDraw22%22%4.603.88-0.4
2Larne62%57%1.611.65+4.7

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Carrick Rangers

  • awayCliftonville1:7
  • homeLimavady United1:1
  • homeLinfield2:2
  • awayDungannon Swifts4:2
  • homeCrusaders4:0

Larne

  • homePortadown1:0
  • homeLimavady United1:1
  • awayBangor2:1
  • homeLinfield1:2
  • homeColeraine2:3

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premiership2:5
  • 02/20/26Premiership3:2
  • 12/26/25Premiership1:2
  • 09/20/25Premiership0:2
  • 03/04/25Premiership1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Coleraine14112132:1335
2Linfield14103121:1133
3Larne1282222:1026
4Glentoran1363417:1121
5Cliftonville1460823:1718
6Carrick Rangers1453623:2718
7Crusaders1460820:2918
8Ballymena United1243517:1615

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.