All matches

Cliftonville — Carrick Rangers, NIFL Premiership

Northern Ireland, NIFL Premiership

Cliftonville
1.9LLLLW
—
Carrick Rangers
1.4WLLDL
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
48%22%30%
Cliftonville48%Draw22%Carrick Rangers30%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Cliftonville48%2.09—
XDraw22%4.52—
2Carrick Rangers30%3.34—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.44

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricCliftonvilleCarrick RangersCombined
Goals scored0.171.001.17
Conceded0.671.171.84
Corners11.012.311.7
Cards1.01.32.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

CliftonvilleCarrick Rangers

Cliftonville FC 48%, Carrick Rangers FC 30%. The safest is “No draw” at 77%.

Cliftonville FC 48%Draw 22%Carrick Rangers FC 30%
1st half
38 · 35 · 27
2nd half
39 · 37 · 25
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

69%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Cliftonville

  • homeBallymena United0:1
  • awayLimavady United0:1
  • homeGlentoran1:2
  • awayLarne0:2
  • awayCarrick Rangers3:1

Carrick Rangers

  • homeCrusaders4:0
  • awayGlentoran0:2
  • homeLarne2:5
  • awayBallymena United1:1
  • homeCliftonville1:3

Head to head

  • 09/12/26NIFL Premiership3:1
  • 01/17/26NIFL Premiership1:4
  • 10/25/25NIFL Premiership1:0
  • 09/06/25NIFL Premiership2:1
  • 04/01/25NIFL Premiership3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Glentoran1051415:1016
5Crusaders1050515:1815
6Carrick Rangers1041515:1513
7Dungannon Swifts94149:1013
8Ballymena United933313:1112
9Cliftonville1040612:1212
10Limavady United93159:1310
11Bangor1012710:225

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.