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Brondby vs Odense prediction

Denmark, Superliga · UTC

VARStats prediction for 6 December: Brondby 51%, draw 26%, Odense 23%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.1LWWLW
  
1.8LWDWD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
51%26%23%
Brondby51%Draw26%Odense23%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Brondby51%1.96—
XDraw26%3.84—
2Odense23%4.38—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

Fair price 1.69

No41%

Fair price 2.46

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goals, corners, cards, exact score, combos

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Most likely score

The three most likely scores according to the model. A probability, not a guarantee.

  1. 1:1Brondby — Odense · 11 %
  2. 2:1Brondby — Odense · 10 %
  3. 2:0Brondby — Odense · 9 %

How the model reads the match

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

BrondbyOdense
Brondby 51%Draw 26%Odense 23%
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 4.5

70%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricBrondbyOdenseCombined
Goals scored2.201.603.80
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Brondby
  • 11 goals in the last 5 matches0:1, 2:0, 3:1, 1:2, 5:2
  • 9 days’ rest vs 6 for the opponent
  • 2nd in the league for corners — 10.9 per match12 teams in the league
Odense
  • 6 days’ rest
  • Unbeaten away in 5 matches1:1, 0:0, 2:1, 1:1, 2:2
  • Most corners in the league in their matches — 11.9 per match12 teams in the league
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 51:2, 4:1, 1:1, 2:1, 0:0

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Brondby

Odense

Head to head

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Viborg FF1482422:1326
4Nordsjaelland1465326:1823
5Brondby1471623:2122
6Odense1445516:1917
7Horsens1444623:2316
8AGF Aarhus1436519:2115

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.