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Bangor vs Portadown: result 3:1

Northern Ireland, PremiershipMatch finished

Final score 3:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Portadown 43%, Bangor 32%, draw 25%.

1.1WLDLL
3:1HT 1:0
1.1LLWDD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
32%25%43%
BangorPrice 2.6232%DrawPrice 3.2825%PortadownPrice 2.3243%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

1.70xG0.71
46Possession, %54
11Shots4
6Shots on target1
6Corners1
1Yellow cards4
0Red cards1
14Fouls12
0Offsides2

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 60 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Portadown43%

    Actual: Bangor — we had 32%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.554%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 46%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No50%

    Actual: Yes — we had 50%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Bangor32%34%3.092.62-1.8
XDraw25%27%4.053.28-2.0
2Portadown43%39%2.332.32+3.8

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Bangor

  • awayBallymena United1:0
  • homeLarne1:2
  • homeDungannon Swifts0:0
  • awayLinfield0:2
  • homeColeraine2:3

Portadown

  • awayLarne0:1
  • homeLinfield1:2
  • awayCliftonville2:1
  • homeGlentoran0:0
  • homeLimavady United2:2

Head to head

  • 09/19/26Premiership3:1
  • 04/25/26Premiership2:4
  • 01/17/26Premiership1:0
  • 11/15/25Premiership1:1
  • 09/19/25Premiership4:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Dungannon Swifts1343613:1815
10Limavady United1443715:2215
11Bangor1423912:269
12Portadown14131010:256

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.