Both teams to score
Yes50%
ours 2.02
No50%
ours 1.98
All matches
—
Antalyaspor — Bursaspor, 1. Lig
Turkey, 1. Lig
Antalyaspor
1.3WWLWL
Bursaspor
WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
27%30%44%
Antalyaspor27%Draw30%Bursaspor44%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Antalyaspor3.74—
XDraw3.38—
2Bursaspor2.29—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAntalyasporBursasporCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded0.000.170.17
Corners5.011.08.0
Cards1.01.02.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Confident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
AntalyasporBursaspor
Antalyaspor 27%, Bursaspor 44%. The safest is “Bursaspor or draw” at 73%.
Antalyaspor 27%Draw 30%Bursaspor 44%
1st half
27 · 43 · 30
2nd half
20 · 41 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Second half total: Over 0.5
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Antalyaspor
- homeVanspor3:0
- awayUmraniyespor2:1
- homeSivasspor1:2
- awayBandirmaspor1:0
- homeSariyer1:2
Bursaspor
- awayBatman Petrolspor2:1
- homeErokspor2:2
- awayManisa FK2:1
- homeIstanbulspor4:0
- awayKayserispor2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Kayserispor861115:319
Kayserispor861115:3192Bursaspor861116:719
Bursaspor861116:7193
Igdir FK851212:716
Igdir FK851212:7164
Batman Petrolspor851215:1316
Batman Petrolspor851215:13165
Sariyer842211:914
Sariyer842211:9146
Keciorengucu834117:1013
Keciorengucu834117:10137
Mardin Buyuksehir83329:512
Mardin Buyuksehir83329:5128Antalyaspor840414:1312
Antalyaspor840414:13129
Fatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü833212:1112
Fatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü833212:111210
Muglaspor82518:711
Muglaspor82518:711Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.