Both teams to score
Yes55%
ours 1.83
No45%
ours 2.20
All matches
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Keciorengucu — Bursaspor, 1. Lig
Turkey, 1. Lig
Keciorengucu
DDWWD
Bursaspor
WDWWW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
33%29%39%
Keciorengucu33%Draw29%Bursaspor39%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Keciorengucu3.08—
XDraw3.49—
2Bursaspor2.57—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Combos
Three kinds of combos — the most likely combination in each. The most likely of the three is highlighted. Every combination is in the tables below.
Combos come with a subscription: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair odds and the market comparison.
Sign upConfident answers
The line the model is most sure about — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up70%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 890 matches
Corners
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 889 matches
Cards
This market opens with a subscription.
Sign up69%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 886 matches
This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. Bookmaker odds on these lines are low — this block shows the model’s accuracy, not the value of a bet.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KeciorengucuBursaspor
Keçiörengücü Spor Kulübü 33%, Bursaspor 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 71%.
Keçiörengücü Spor Kulübü 33%Draw 29%Bursaspor 39%
1st half
28 · 39 · 33
2nd half
27 · 43 · 31
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Double chance: No draw
71%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKeciorengucuBursasporCombined
Goals scored0.831.001.83
Conceded0.330.671.00
Corners9.010.39.7
Cards2.01.73.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Form and context
Keciorengucu
- homeSivasspor1:1
- awayVanspor1:1
- homeSariyer3:0
- awayBoluspor2:0
- homeUmraniyespor2:2
Bursaspor
- awayBatman Petrolspor2:1
- homeErokspor2:2
- awayManisa FK2:1
- homeIstanbulspor4:0
- awayKayserispor2:1
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1
Kayserispor861115:319
Kayserispor861115:3192Bursaspor861116:719
Bursaspor861116:7193
Igdir FK851212:716
Igdir FK851212:7164
Batman Petrolspor851215:1316
Batman Petrolspor851215:13165
Sariyer842211:914
Sariyer842211:9146Keciorengucu834117:1013
Keciorengucu834117:10137
Mardin Buyuksehir83329:512
Mardin Buyuksehir83329:5128
Antalyaspor840414:1312
Antalyaspor840414:1312Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.