Both teams to score
Yes66%
ours 1.52
No34%
ours 2.93
All matches
Keciorengucu — Kayserispor, 1. Lig: match prediction and stats
Match prediction and stats
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
26%25%49%
Keciorengucu26%Draw25%Kayserispor49%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Keciorengucu3.89—
XDraw3.95—
2Kayserispor2.04—
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Quick predictions
The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.
Over 2.5 goals
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Over 9.5 corners
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Goals and corners — with Premium
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Combos
Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.
Combos — with Premium
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Confident answers
The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.
Goals prediction
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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4185 matches
Corners prediction
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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4170 matches
Cards prediction
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71%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4155 matches
Lines for goals, corners and cards — with Premium
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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
KeciorengucuKayserispor
Keçiörengücü Spor Kulübü 26%, Kayserispor 49%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.
Keçiörengücü Spor Kulübü 26%Draw 25%Kayserispor 49%
1st half
19 · 34 · 46
2nd half
28 · 32 · 39
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
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More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total shots on target: Under 10.5
71%
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Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricKeciorengucuKayserisporCombined
Goals scored1.602.404.00
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Insights
What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.
Keciorengucu- Led at half-time in 6 of 10 matches
- 2.0 goals per game at home6 matches
- 2nd in the league for yellow cards — 2.7 per match20 teams in the league
Kayserispor- Unbeaten away in 7 matches2:2, 4:0, 1:0, 3:0, 1:1
- Unbeaten in 8 matches2:2, 2:2, 4:0, 3:2, 1:0
- Best defence in the league — 9 conceded in 12 matches2nd place, 27 points
Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.
Form and context
Keciorengucu
- awayErokspor2:3
- homeBursaspor2:4
- awayFatih Karagümrük Spor Kulübü2:1
- homeIgdir FK0:0
- awayBodrum Belediyesi Bodrum Spor Kulübü2:0
Kayserispor
- awayPendikspor2:2
- homeBatman Petrolspor2:2
- awayAntalyaspor4:0
- homeManisa FK3:2
- awayMardin Buyuksehir1:0
Head to head
No head-to-head matches on record.
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
More matches in this competition
Turkey, 1. Lig: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.
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Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.