Altay vs Irtysh Pavlodar: result 1:2
Final score 1:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Altay 44%, draw 28%, Irtysh Pavlodar 28%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsAltay3-4-1-2—Irtysh Pavlodar3-5-2
Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.
Altay3-4-1-2
Coach: Vakhid Masudov
Starting XI
25GKDanilo Kucher
4DF
Nemanja Mićević23DFDoszhan Kenzhegulov
3DFSamuel Odeyobo
15DFDmitry Schmidt
21MF
Nikola Jambor18MFAbylaikhan Nazymkhanov
98MFDmitri Podstrelov
77MFSaif Popov99FW
Dragan Stoisavljević45FWDarko Dodev
Substitutes
1GKAnuar Sapargalyev
35GKAbylkhair Aliakbar5MFOraz Saylybaev8MFAlmas Sapargaliyev
9MFElisey Gorshunov
11MFIbragim Dadayev17MFZhannur Kukeyev19MFZahar Gultiyaev22MFAslan Dzhanuzakov
29FWElguja Lobjanidze
70FWDenis Mitrofanov
91FWSergey Khizhnichenko
Irtysh Pavlodar3-5-2
Starting XI
1GKMiras Rikhard
5DFBakhtiyar Toleuov26DFMamadou Mbodj
4DFDemiyat Slambekov
66DFSagi Malikaydar6MFYushi Shimamura
56DFRuslan Yudenkov
8MFDavid Esimbekov
12DFRamazan Karimov9FWKalil
7FWTimur Mukhametzhanov
Substitutes
29GKBogdan Sarnavskyi
15DFDaniil Nyrkov
17DFSamuel Opeh
25DF
Marko Jevtić13MFNurdaulet Baybosynov
14MFVyacheslav Raskatov21MFDarkhan Berdibek
24MFMurojon Khalmatov
35MFLucas Ramos
97MFJean Poé
32FWOluwabori Falaye
77FWAlham Nurlan
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result MissedAltay44%
Actual: Irtysh Pavlodar — we had 28%
- Total goals MissedUnder 2.561%
Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 39%
- Both teams to score MissedNo56%
Actual: Yes — we had 44%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Altay
- awayKairat1:1
- homeYelimay2:2
- homeAtyrau1:1
- awayCaspiy1:2
- homeIrtysh Pavlodar1:2
Irtysh Pavlodar
- homeOrdabasy2:0
- awayAtyrau3:2
- awayKairat0:5
- homeAstana0:1
- homeKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk0:2
Head to head
- 09/18/26Premier League1:2
- 04/04/26Premier League0:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
Kazakhstan, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.


