All matches

Altay vs Irtysh Pavlodar: result 1:2

Kazakhstan, Premier LeagueMatch finished

Final score 1:2. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Altay 44%, draw 28%, Irtysh Pavlodar 28%.

1.6DDDLL
1:2HT 1:2
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
44%28%28%
Altay44%Draw28%Irtysh Pavlodar28%
Line-upsAltay3-4-1-2—Irtysh Pavlodar3-5-2

Starting line-ups and substitutes. Usually out about an hour before kick-off.

Altay3-4-1-2Irtysh Pavlodar3-5-2

Altay3-4-1-2

Coach: Vakhid Masudov

Starting XI

  • 25GKUkraineDanilo Kucher
  • 4DFSerbiaNemanja Mićević
  • 23DFKazakhstanDoszhan Kenzhegulov
  • 3DFNigeriaSamuel Odeyobo
  • 15DFKazakhstanDmitry Schmidt
  • 21MFCroatiaNikola Jambor
  • 18MFKazakhstanAbylaikhan Nazymkhanov
  • 98MFBelarusDmitri Podstrelov
  • 77MFSaif Popov
  • 99FWSerbiaDragan Stoisavljević
  • 45FWNorth MacedoniaDarko Dodev

Substitutes

  • 1GKKazakhstanAnuar Sapargalyev
  • 35GKAbylkhair Aliakbar
  • 5MFOraz Saylybaev
  • 8MFKazakhstanAlmas Sapargaliyev
  • 9MFKazakhstanElisey Gorshunov
  • 11MFIbragim Dadayev
  • 17MFZhannur Kukeyev
  • 19MFZahar Gultiyaev
  • 22MFKazakhstanAslan Dzhanuzakov
  • 29FWGeorgiaElguja Lobjanidze
  • 70FWKazakhstanDenis Mitrofanov
  • 91FWKazakhstanSergey Khizhnichenko

Irtysh Pavlodar3-5-2

Starting XI

  • 1GKKazakhstanMiras Rikhard
  • 5DFBakhtiyar Toleuov
  • 26DFSenegalMamadou Mbodj
  • 4DFKazakhstanDemiyat Slambekov
  • 66DFSagi Malikaydar
  • 6MFJapanYushi Shimamura
  • 56DFBelarusRuslan Yudenkov
  • 8MFKazakhstanDavid Esimbekov
  • 12DFRamazan Karimov
  • 9FWBrazilKalil
  • 7FWTimur Mukhametzhanov

Substitutes

  • 29GKUkraineBogdan Sarnavskyi
  • 15DFKazakhstanDaniil Nyrkov
  • 17DFNigeriaSamuel Opeh
  • 25DFSerbiaMarko Jevtić
  • 13MFKazakhstanNurdaulet Baybosynov
  • 14MFVyacheslav Raskatov
  • 21MFKazakhstanDarkhan Berdibek
  • 24MFKazakhstanMurojon Khalmatov
  • 35MFBrazilLucas Ramos
  • 97MFCôte d'IvoireJean Poé
  • 32FWCanadaOluwabori Falaye
  • 77FWAlham Nurlan

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.57xG0.75
55Possession, %45
25Shots6
6Shots on target2
4Corners3
1Yellow cards3
0Red cards1
14Fouls13
4Offsides1

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

0 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 70 of 99void — 1
  • Match result Missed
    Altay44%

    Actual: Irtysh Pavlodar — we had 28%

  • Total goals Missed
    Under 2.561%

    Actual: Over 2.5 — we had 39%

  • Both teams to score Missed
    No56%

    Actual: Yes — we had 44%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Altay44%2.27—
XDraw28%3.54—
2Irtysh Pavlodar28%3.60—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Altay

  • awayKairat1:1
  • homeYelimay2:2
  • homeAtyrau1:1
  • awayCaspiy1:2
  • homeIrtysh Pavlodar1:2

Irtysh Pavlodar

  • homeOrdabasy2:0
  • awayAtyrau3:2
  • awayKairat0:5
  • homeAstana0:1
  • homeKyzyl-Zhar Petropavlovsk0:2

Head to head

  • 09/18/26Premier League1:2
  • 04/04/26Premier League0:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Caspiy30961532:4433
12Irtysh Pavlodar30881431:4432
13Atyrau306121227:3530
14Zhetysu Taldykorgan30691531:4927
15Altay305111430:4426
16Kaisar Kyzylorda304131325:4125

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium

Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.

3 days free

Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.