All matches

Al Fateh — Al Khaleej, Professional League

Saudi Arabia, Professional League

Al Fateh
1.3LLDDD
—
Al Khaleej
1.2DDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
47%25%27%
Al Fateh47%Draw25%Al Khaleej27%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Fateh47%2.11—
XDraw25%3.96—
2Al Khaleej27%3.67—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes59%

ours 1.70

No41%

ours 2.43

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricAl FatehAl KhaleejCombined
Goals scored0.500.330.83
Conceded1.001.502.50
Corners12.58.810.6
Cards2.31.84.0
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Al FatehAl Khaleej

Al Fateh SC 47%, Al Khaleej Saihat 27%. The safest is “No draw” at 74%.

Al Fateh SC 47%Draw 25%Al Khaleej Saihat 27%
1st half
38 · 38 · 23
2nd half
36 · 38 · 27
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

First half total: Over 0.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Al Fateh

  • awayNeom2:4
  • homeAl Draih1:2
  • awayAl Taawon0:0
  • homeAl Ittihad0:0
  • awayAl Faisaly1:1

Al Khaleej

  • homeAl Nassr1:1
  • homeAl Riyadh0:0
  • awayNeom0:3
  • homeAl Hilal1:5
  • awayAbha1:1

Head to head

  • 04/24/26Professional League1:0
  • 12/29/25Professional League1:0
  • 04/12/25Professional League5:1
  • 11/09/24Professional League1:2

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Al Riyadh72238:168
12Al Feiha71337:116
13Al Khaleej70523:105
14Al Shabab70436:114
15Al Fateh70344:113
16Al Faisaly70345:133
17Al Taawon70343:123

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.