Both teams to score
Yes54%
ours 1.85
No46%
ours 2.17
All matches
—
Al Ahli Jeddah — Al Khaleej, Professional League
Saudi Arabia, Professional League
Al Ahli Jeddah
3.4WLWLL
Al Khaleej
1.2DDLLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Outcome probability
75%17%
Al Ahli Jeddah75%Draw17%Al Khaleej7%
Model vs market
Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Al Ahli Jeddah1.33—
XDraw5.72—
2Al Khaleej13.35—
our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price
Average totals by team
A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.
MetricAl Ahli JeddahAl KhaleejCombined
Goals scored1.670.171.84
Conceded0.670.671.34
Corners9.010.09.5
Cards0.72.02.7
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target
The other six metrics — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.
Why the model reads the match this way
Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.
Al Ahli JeddahAl Khaleej
Al Ahli SC Jeddah 75%, Al Khaleej Saihat 7%. The safest is “Al Ahli SC Jeddah or draw” at 89%.
Al Ahli SC Jeddah 75%Draw 17%Al Khaleej Saihat 7%
1st half
50 · 35 · 15
2nd half
46 · 36 · 18
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?
The full analysis and both conclusions — with a subscription
More possible scenarios
Three options at different prices of risk.
Total corners: Under 10.5
69%
Two more scenarios — with a subscription
Form and context
Al Ahli Jeddah
- homeAl Hazm3:1
- awayAl Qadisiyah2:3
- homeAl Riyadh5:0
- awayAl Hilal0:3
- awayAl Kholood1:3
Al Khaleej
- homeAl Nassr1:1
- homeAl Riyadh0:0
- awayNeom0:3
- homeAl Hilal1:5
- awayAbha1:1
Head to head
- 05/20/26Professional League4:1
- 01/20/26Professional League4:1
- 03/07/25Professional League2:2
- 10/18/24Professional League3:0
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4
Al Qadisiyah751116:816
Al Qadisiyah751116:8165
Neom750213:615
Neom750213:6156Al Ahli Jeddah740316:1012
Al Ahli Jeddah740316:10127
Al Kholood733112:1012
Al Kholood733112:10128
Al Draih73227:511
Al Draih73227:5119
Al Ittifaq732211:1111
Al Ittifaq732211:111110
Al Hazm72237:98
Al Hazm72237:9811
Al Riyadh72238:168
Al Riyadh72238:16812
Al Feiha71337:116
Al Feiha71337:11613Al Khaleej70523:105
Al Khaleej70523:10514
Al Shabab70436:114
Al Shabab70436:11415
Al Fateh70344:113
Al Fateh70344:113Full breakdown
Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with a subscription
Free full access for 3 days when you sign up
Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.