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Ceuta vs Real Sociedad II: result 3:1

Spain, Segunda DivisiónMatch finished

Final score 3:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: Ceuta 38%, Real Sociedad II 35%, draw 27%.

1.4LLLLD
3:1HT 0:0
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Pre-match forecastpublished
38%27%35%
CeutaPrice 2.8938%DrawPrice 3.4627%Real Sociedad IIPrice 2.4635%

Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.

Match stats

How the match went in numbers.

2.65xG0.60
70Possession, %30
25Shots5
8Shots on target2
9Corners2
3Yellow cards4
0Red cards2
10Fouls24
3Offsides0

How the forecast did

In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.

3 of 3
Main predictions landedresult, half, totals, both to score
All forecast types: landed 115 of 183void — 1
  • Match result Landed
    Ceuta38%
  • Total goals Landed
    Over 2.551%
  • Both teams to score Landed
    Yes55%

The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.

Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Ceuta38%33%2.632.89+4.8
XDraw27%28%3.643.46-0.1
2Real Sociedad II35%39%2.892.46-4.7

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Form and context

Ceuta

  • homeSporting Gijon0:2
  • awayCadiz1:3
  • homeReal Oviedo1:2
  • homeSabadell1:2
  • awayCastellon1:1

Real Sociedad II

  • homeGirona1:0
  • awayLas Palmas0:1
  • homeAlmeria2:4
  • awayCelta Vigo II1:4
  • homeGranada2:3

Head to head

  • 09/26/26Segunda División3:1
  • 04/10/26Segunda División0:0
  • 12/21/25Segunda División3:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
16Real Valladolid1133516:1612
17Leganes113357:1612
18Real Sociedad II1232715:2211
19Cadiz1124514:1410
20Andorra1131715:2010
21Albacete1221910:237
22Ceuta1212910:275

Full breakdown

Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.