All matches

Real Valladolid — Leganes, Segunda División

Spain, Segunda División

Real Valladolid
0.6DWDLW
—
Leganes
1.4LLWLD
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
49%26%26%
Real Valladolid49%Draw26%Leganes26%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Real Valladolid49%2.05—
XDraw26%3.90—
2Leganes26%3.91—

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes55%

ours 1.83

No45%

ours 2.20

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricReal ValladolidLeganesCombined
Goals scored1.000.501.50
Conceded0.671.332.00
Corners7.38.78.0
Cards3.73.77.3
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

Real ValladolidLeganes

Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol 49%, CD Leganés 26%. The safest is “Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol or draw” at 75%.

Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol 49%Draw 26%CD Leganés 26%
1st half
40 · 40 · 20
2nd half
34 · 40 · 26
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total cards: Under 6.5

72%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Real Valladolid

  • awayLas Palmas2:2
  • homeCordoba3:1
  • awayCeuta1:1
  • homeReal Oviedo0:3
  • homeAndorra1:0

Leganes

  • awayCadiz0:4
  • homeCastellon0:2
  • homeGranada3:2
  • awayTenerife0:2
  • awayLas Palmas0:0

Head to head

  • 03/14/26Segunda División3:2
  • 01/11/26Segunda División0:3
  • 05/24/25La Liga0:3
  • 08/28/24La Liga0:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11Las Palmas832312:1311
12Tenerife832310:1211
13Leganes83236:1111
14Real Valladolid82338:119
15Cordoba830513:189
16Real Sociedad II822411:138

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.