All matches

Nurnberg vs Eintracht Braunschweig prediction

Germany, 2. Bundesliga

VARStats prediction for 21 November: Nurnberg 64%, draw 21%, Eintracht Braunschweig 15%. Below — goals, corners, cards, team form and the referee.

2.3WLDDW
  
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
64%21%15%
Nurnberg64%Draw21%Eintracht Braunschweig15%
Most confident forecast72% of such answers came in · 60 days
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Model and prices

Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelPriceΔ
1Nurnberg64%1.57—
XDraw21%4.69—
2Eintracht Braunschweig15%6.59—

our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed

Quick predictions

The three most common questions — our probability next to the price.

Both teams to score

Yes63%

ours 1.58

No37%

ours 2.73

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Combos

Combos come with Premium: result and total, result and corners, both teams to score and total — probability, fair price and the comparison with the prices.

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Confident answers

The line where the model is closest to 72% — and how often such answers have come in.

Goals prediction

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72%of such answers on goals came inlast 60 days · 4407 matches

Corners prediction

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71%of such answers on corners came inlast 60 days · 4392 matches

Cards prediction

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72%of such answers on cards came inlast 60 days · 4375 matches

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This is a probability, not a guarantee: roughly 3 answers in 10 don’t come in. This block is about the model’s accuracy.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

NurnbergEintracht Braunschweig

1. FC Nürnberg 64%, Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895 15%. The safest is “1. FC Nürnberg or draw” at 83%.

1. FC Nürnberg 64%Draw 21%Braunschweiger TSV Eintracht 1895 15%
1st half
48 · 34 · 18
2nd half
48 · 29 · 23
Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total fouls: Over 20.5

71%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricNurnbergEintracht BraunschweigCombined
Goals scored1.800.802.60
Conceded
Corners
Cards
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Insights

What to know before the match: recent games, the table, head-to-head. Only facts from played matches — no model opinions.

Nurnberg
  • Conceded in 4 of the last 5 matches7 goals conceded
  • 2nd in the league for shots on target — 6.8 per match18 teams in the league
  • Won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings1:1, 2:1, 4:1, 1:0
Eintracht Braunschweig
  • Winless away in 4 matches1:3, 0:2, 0:1, 1:3, 6:1
  • 2 goals or fewer in 4 of the last 5

Based on played matches of the current season and recent games. A fact is shown only when it stands out from the usual.

Form and context

Nurnberg

  • awaySt. Pauli3:1
  • homeKaiserslautern0:1
  • awayEnergie Cottbus1:1
  • homeWolfsburg4:4
  • awayKarlsruher SC1:0

Eintracht Braunschweig

  • awayArminia Bielefeld1:3
  • homeHannover 962:0
  • awayGreuther Furth0:2
  • homeHolstein Kiel1:0
  • awayKaiserslautern0:1

Head to head

  • 04/05/262. Bundesliga1:1
  • 11/01/252. Bundesliga2:1
  • 05/18/252. Bundesliga4:1
  • 12/21/242. Bundesliga1:0

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Hertha Berlin1091023:828
2Nurnberg1063124:1321
3Wolfsburg1054125:1419
4Kaiserslautern105329:718
5Magdeburg1052321:1317
6Heidenheim1043317:1815
7Arminia Bielefeld1042416:1514
8St. Pauli1026212:1212
9Greuther Furth1033413:1612
10Osnabruck1032514:1711
11VfL Bochum103258:1111
12Hannover 961032510:1611
13Karlsruher SC1032513:2111
14Energie Cottbus1024418:2010
16Darmstadt 98102359:199
17Holstein Kiel1015410:128

Full breakdown

Every forecast type the model computes. Our probability on the left, our fair price and the current price on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.