All matches

Mechelen — Sint-Truiden, Pro League

Belgium, Pro League

Mechelen
1.5DLLDL
—
Sint-Truiden
2.2LLWLW
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5What this means

Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.

Outcome probability
35%26%39%
MechelenMarket 3.2735%DrawMarket 3.7526%Sint-TruidenMarket 2.1039%

Model vs market

Our probability against the one implied by the bookmaker price. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.

OutcomeModelMarketΔ
1Mechelen35%31%2.833.27+4.8
XDraw26%27%3.913.75-1.0
2Sint-Truiden39%48%2.562.10-8.5

our modelmarket — implied by the bookmaker price

Quick markets

The three most common questions — our probability next to the bookmaker line.

Both teams to score

Yes60%

ours 1.67book 1.55

No40%

ours 2.48book 2.30

Over 2.5 goals

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Over 9.5 corners

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Average totals by team

A plain average for each side over its most recent matches — what the totals grow out of. A fact, not a model forecast.

MetricMechelenSint-TruidenCombined
Goals scored0.831.672.50
Conceded2.002.004.00
Corners9.38.89.1
Cards1.72.23.8
Offsides
Throw-ins
Fouls
xG
Shots
Shots on target

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Average over the last 5 completed matches of each team. The combined column adds the two sides; only corners are averaged, because they already arrive as a match total.

Why the model reads the match this way

Short answers to the key questions of the match. Tap a question to see the numbers by team and half.

MechelenSint-Truiden

YR KV Mechelen 35%, Sint-Truidense VV 39%. The safest is “No draw” at 75%.

YR KV Mechelen 35%Draw 26%Sint-Truidense VV 39%
1st half
36 · 37 · 28
2nd half
31 · 38 · 31

Bookmakers: 3.27 · 3.75 · 2.10

Both teams to score?
How many goals?
How many corners?
How many yellow cards?
How many shots?
How many fouls?
How many offsides?

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More possible scenarios

Three options at different prices of risk.

Conservativehigh probability, modest price
Basebalance of probability and price

Total corners: Under 11.5

68%
High variancelow probability, high price

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Form and context

Mechelen

  • awayLommel United0:0
  • homeAnderlecht0:1
  • homeWesterlo0:4
  • awayLa Louviere2:2
  • awayCharleroi0:2

Sint-Truiden

  • homeWesterlo0:2
  • awayWaasland-Beveren0:2
  • homeLa Louviere4:0
  • homeUnion Saint-Gilloise0:3
  • awayAntwerp4:1

Head to head

  • 05/24/26Pro League0:3
  • 04/26/26Pro League1:4
  • 12/21/25Pro League0:1
  • 10/04/25Pro League1:3
  • 02/21/25Pro League1:1

League table

Both teams and their nearest neighbours.

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Genk723213:129
10Waasland-Beveren73047:119
11Sint-Truiden722312:128
12Lommel United72236:88
13Antwerp721411:157
14La Louviere71157:144
15OH Leuven71155:134
16Cercle Brugge70348:143
17Mechelen70345:143
18Kortrijk71062:153

Full breakdown

Every market the model prices. Our probability on the left, fair odds and the bookmaker line on the right.

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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.