Tottenham 2:3 Aston Villa, Premier League: result, stats and how the prediction went
Result and how the prediction went
England, Premier LeagueMatch finished
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedAston Villa40%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.551%
- Both teams to score LandedYes57%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
Big gap with the price. The price usually reflects something the model doesn’t know: a new team in the league, few matches, line-ups. Not a tip.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
Tottenham
- homeCrystal Palace2:0
- awayChelsea2:0
- homeCoventry City3:1
- awayManchester United1:1
- homeAston Villa2:3
Aston Villa
- homeFulham1:1
- homeManchester City2:1
- homeViking3:1
- awayNewcastle United1:0
- homeFenerbahce6:0
Head to head
- 09/19/26Premier League2:3
- 05/03/26Premier League2:1
- 10/19/25Premier League1:2
- 05/16/25Premier League0:2
- 11/03/24Premier League4:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
More matches in this competition
England, Premier League: upcoming and recently played.
Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
Full breakdown, scenarios and analysis — with Premium
Every pick of the day, full match analysis, scenarios and combos.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.