St. Louis City vs Toronto: result 3:1
USA, MLSMatch finished
Final score 3:1. Before kick-off VARStats gave: St. Louis City 51%, Toronto 25%, draw 24%.
Team strength by Elo, 0 to 5?What this means
Strength is the team’s Elo rating rescaled to 0–5 across all matches in the competition: it rises after wins over strong opponents and falls after losses to weak ones. The bar colour is the tier: red — weak, amber — below average, green — solid, blue — the strongest. The letters under the bar are the last five matches: W — win, D — draw, L — loss.
Line-upsThe data provider has not sent line-ups for this match.
Match stats
How the match went in numbers.
How the forecast did
In each forecast type the prediction is one outcome: the most likely one before kick-off.
- Match result LandedSt. Louis City51%
- Total goals LandedOver 2.558%
- Both teams to score LandedYes59%
The bar is our pre-match probability. The other outcomes of the same forecast are not picks but the probability split: one of home, draw, away always happens.
Model and prices
Our probability next to the probability from the price, with the mark-up removed. The Δ column is the gap in percentage points.
our modelfrom the price, mark-up removed
Form and context
St. Louis City
- homeSan Diego0:1
- homePortland Timbers2:3
- awayReal Salt Lake0:3
- awayMinnesota United2:3
- homeVancouver Whitecaps0:0
Toronto
- awayAtlanta United1:3
- homeDC United2:1
- awayColumbus Crew2:4
- awayNew York Red Bulls2:0
- homeOrlando City3:3
Head to head
- 09/20/26MLS3:1
League table
Both teams and their nearest neighbours.
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Full breakdown
Every outcome of the forecast published before the match.
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Probabilities are a model estimate, not a guarantee.